Adidas walked into earnings day with the highest expectations footwear has produced in two years — and largely cleared them. The German sportswear giant reported first-quarter revenue of €6.6 billion, up 7% in euros and 14% on a currency-neutral basis, with operating profit climbing 16% to €705 million and beating consensus by roughly €60 million. Apparel, the surprise leader, was up 31% currency-neutral. The stock surged on the open.
But the more interesting story coming out of Herzogenaurach was not the headline number. It was CEO Bjørn Gulden's framing of how Adidas plans to protect its brand in a wholesale market that is awash in promotions and look-alike inventory. Gulden told analysts the company would "defend newness" — and that the playbook for doing it now is meaningfully different than it was 18 months ago.
In the discount-soaked lifestyle footwear market of mid-2026, Adidas is deliberately starving its wholesale accounts of fresh product. Some of its newest silhouettes are debuting on adidas.com and in company-owned stores rather than being shipped into a wholesale floor where, as Gulden put it on the call, "everything is minus 20." The result is a DTC channel that grew 22% currency-neutral — with e-commerce up 25% and own-retail up 19% — while wholesale grew just 2%. DTC is now 38% of the business, the highest it has ever been.
That mix matters because the math of full-price selling now drives most of the operating leverage at Adidas. The first quarter free of Yeezy inventory gave the company a clean read on its core terraces, retro running, and football product, and the underlying gross margin expansion came from product mix and channel mix, not from price hikes. Inventory ended the quarter up 14% to €5.79 billion — a number Gulden called "intentional" to support availability, but which will pressure Adidas to keep DTC velocity high through the summer.
The message to the rest of the sportswear and lifestyle industry is hard to miss. With Nike still working through its product reset, On and Hoka pulling premium runners away from the legacy giants, and a wholesale channel where retailers from Foot Locker to JD Sports are leaning on promotions to clear shelves, Adidas is choosing to ration its scarcity. As WWD noted, the company has effectively decided that one bad markdown is more expensive than one missed wholesale order.
There is a forecast wrinkle. Despite the beat, Adidas left full-year guidance unchanged — high single-digit currency-neutral revenue growth and operating profit "around €2.3 billion" — citing US tariff uncertainty and FX volatility. That is the right call. The same tariff exposure that has Walmart signaling May and June price increases and Target preparing for margin pressure flows through Adidas's footwear COGS too. Holding guidance after a beat is the conservative move; raising it would have invited questions about pricing power.
For the rest of the industry, the read-through is sharper than Adidas's own language lets on. The "defend newness" doctrine is a polite way of saying that, in this retail environment, the brand is more valuable than the wholesale partner. Wholesale gets last-season silhouettes and core; DTC gets the launches. The throughline of Q2 2026 retail is brands betting on owned distribution to escape the markdown spiral. Adidas just put a number on it: 22% growth.
Wholesale partners can complain — and many will. But until lifestyle footwear discounting subsides, brands that can pull product back will. The discipline of not overselling, as Gulden put it Tuesday, is "currently crucial." That is going to sting in the wholesale P&L of every footwear retailer that built its 2026 plan around new Adidas product hitting their floors at full price.
