H&M's second-quarter results, out Thursday, are a clean illustration of a strategy working on its own terms and still failing to satisfy the market. The world's second-largest fashion retailer grew its operating profit excluding one-time costs by 14% to 8.1 billion Swedish kronor, lifting the underlying operating margin to 7.8% from 6.4% a year earlier, H&M Group reported. On paper, that's exactly the profitability turnaround CEO Daniel Ervér has promised. And yet the stock-relevant line was a miss: reported operating profit of SEK 7.4 billion came in below expectations, Bloomberg reported, and shares took the news poorly.
The reason the beat-and-miss can coexist is the top line. Revenue for the March–May quarter fell to SEK 54.82 billion (about €4.95 billion) from SEK 56.71 billion a year earlier — down 3.3% as reported, dragged by a strong krona, and down about 1% in local currencies against expectations for flat growth, WWD reported. H&M is making more money by selling slightly less, more carefully. That works until investors decide they also want the growth.
Discipline you can see in the numbers
The margin gain wasn't an accident; it was engineered through the parts of the business H&M can control. Inventory fell 10% year over year to SEK 34.94 billion, as Investing.com noted — a meaningful tightening that reduces the markdown risk that has historically gutted fast-fashion margins. The flip side, management acknowledged, is that leaner inventory itself curbed sales in the quarter. Fewer goods on the floor means fewer things to sell.
The footprint is shrinking too. H&M ended the quarter with 4,038 stores worldwide, down from 4,166 a year earlier — a net reduction of roughly 128 locations, per just-style — as the company keeps pruning underperforming doors and shifting weight toward e-commerce and its better real estate. For the first half overall, sales of SEK 104.4 billion ran about 6.8% below the prior year.
The strategic question
What H&M is attempting is the apparel sector's hardest trick: getting healthier by getting smaller without entering a death spiral. Cut the weakest stores, hold less stock, protect full-price selling, and let the margin do the talking. It is a deliberate contrast with the growth-first machine at Inditex, whose Zara has spent the cycle proving you can expand revenue and margin simultaneously when your supply chain is fast enough.
The risk is obvious. Inventory discipline that "curbs sales" can tip from prudent into self-defeating if it leaves shelves looking thin while Shein and Temu flood the value end and Zara owns the trend-right middle. A 7.8% margin is a real achievement against H&M's recent history, but margin on a continuously shrinking base eventually stops being a turnaround and starts being a managed decline. Thursday's numbers say the discipline is genuine. They don't yet say the growth is coming back — and that, not the margin, is the question the market is now pricing.
